Q 11
7 marks
Sets and probability — basketball and netball
A class of 15 students were surveyed. Let \(B\) = basketball, \(N\) = netball.
9 play basketball, 5 play netball, 3 play both, the rest play neither.
(a) Complete the 2-way table. (1)
(b) Find \(n(B')\) and \(n(B \cup N)\). (2)
(c) Find \(\Pr(B)\), \(\Pr(B \cap N')\), \(\Pr(B|N)\). (3)
(d) Are \(B\) and \(N\) independent? Show working. (1)
ApproachStart by filling in the 'play both' cell (3 students). Then work out the rest: basketball only = 9 − 3 = 6; netball only = 5 − 3 = 2; neither = 15 − (6+3+2) = 4.
\(n(B')\) means 'not basketball'. \(n(B \cup N)\) means 'play at least one of the two'.
\(\Pr(B|N)\) is the conditional 'given they play netball, what's the chance they play basketball?'
Independent means \(\Pr(B|N) = \Pr(B)\) — knowing one event doesn't change the other.
Key stepTable fills: B∩N=3, B-only=6, N-only=2, neither=4. So \(n(B)=9\), \(n(N)=5\), \(n(B')=6\), \(n(N')=10\).
\(n(B \cup N) = 9 + 5 - 3 = 11\).
\(\Pr(B) = \dfrac{9}{15} = \dfrac{3}{5}\). \(\Pr(B \cap N') = \dfrac{6}{15} = \dfrac{2}{5}\). \(\Pr(B|N) = \dfrac{3}{5}\).
Since \(\Pr(B|N) = \Pr(B) = \dfrac{3}{5}\), the events are independent.
Answer\(B\) and \(N\) are independent because \(\Pr(B|N) = \Pr(B) = \dfrac{3}{5}\).
Watch outFor \(\Pr(B|N)\), divide by 5 (the netball players), not 15. Conditional probability narrows the sample.